In Part One of our Drilling for Ideas series we discussed the causes behind the past year’s plunge in oil prices. In Part Two we discussed the catalysts that we believe are needed to reach a bottom in the oil market and painted a picture of what the bottom of oil might look like. The future for oil, as we envision it, is not …
The Oil Trade: Drilling for Ideas (Part 2 of 3)
In Part One of our Drilling for Ideas series, we examined the now year-old price decline in oil, concluding that the cause was an oversupply problem, purposefully orchestrated by a Saudi-led OPEC to regain market share and bankrupt the US tight oil industry. The gamble being made by the Saudis is that they can ride out the low price of oil long …
The Oil Trade: Drilling for Ideas (Part 1 of 3)
After spending a few weeks in Qatar, Kuwait, and Iran… I spent a lot of time thinking about the Middle Eastern economies and their petro-governments’ dependence on oil. I’ve been focused on the oil sector for a while now looking for some investment ideas, so I thought I’d try to combine some of my macro and investment thoughts into a blog post. <- …